Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Johansen 58.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 73.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 52.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Staal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Staal
Johansen
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
59.8% (625)
-3.5%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
58.2% (196)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
51.9% (27)
+0.2%
On even strength, Johansen has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Staal
Johansen
Home
58.3% (705)
60.3% (436)
Away
53.3% (769)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Staal
Johansen
P1
54.5%
61.3%
P2
58.2%
60.4%
P3
54.1%
56.0%
OT
60.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |