Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Johansen 52.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 79.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 61.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 69.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Staal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Staal
Johansen
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
5
Staal
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
51.9% (597)
+7.0%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
57.9% (133)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
54.3% (81)
-2.5%
On power play, Staal has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Staal
Johansen
Home
57.0% (646)
55.8% (387)
Away
59.1% (729)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Staal
Johansen
P1
55.9%
50.0%
P2
55.4%
56.2%
P3
62.0%
52.6%
OT
70.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |