Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Staal wins 61.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Johansen 51.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 36-22 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 65.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Staal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
22
(58 meetings)
36
22
Staal
Johansen
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
9
11
Staal
Johansen
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
14
5
Staal
Johansen
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
13
6
Staal
Johansen
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (780)
51.5% (615)
+5.7%
Power Play
71.3% (171)
54.3% (140)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (132)
46.3% (67)
-0.8%
On power play, Staal has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Staal is 61.5% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Staal shoots left. Johansen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Staal
Johansen
Home
57.6% (566)
52.4% (389)
Away
58.4% (517)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Staal
Johansen
P1
55.6%
53.4%
P2
58.5%
49.1%
P3
60.6%
51.5%
OT
43.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.6%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |