Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Bennett 48.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 53.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Staal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Staal
Bennett
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
5
Staal
Bennett
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
0
Staal
Bennett
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Staal
Bennett
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
46.4% (780)
+9.7%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
57.3% (150)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
47.8% (46)
-4.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Staal
Bennett
Home
55.4% (663)
50.3% (519)
Away
54.4% (676)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Staal
Bennett
P1
55.1%
47.5%
P2
54.7%
46.6%
P3
53.9%
49.8%
OT
70.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |