Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Bennett 47.2% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 42-27 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 75.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 95.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 91.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Staal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
27
(69 meetings)
42
27
Staal
Bennett
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
7
14
Staal
Bennett
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
17
3
Staal
Bennett
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
18
10
Staal
Bennett
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
46.8% (5,683)
+9.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
53.7% (555)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
41.8% (256)
+6.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Staal
Bennett
Home
56.4% (9,663)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Staal
Bennett
P1
55.2%
48.0%
P2
55.9%
46.5%
P3
54.9%
46.9%
OT
56.2%
52.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |