Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Bennett 47.3% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 56.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Staal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Staal
Bennett
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
3
Staal
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
48.2% (766)
+8.1%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
45.1% (82)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
33.9% (56)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Staal
Bennett
Home
58.3% (705)
49.1% (458)
Away
53.3% (769)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Staal
Bennett
P1
54.5%
47.9%
P2
58.2%
47.2%
P3
54.1%
46.4%
OT
60.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |