Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Bennett 46.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 54.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Staal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Staal
Bennett
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
46.5% (909)
+10.5%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
43.1% (51)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
38.5% (13)
+6.6%
On power play, Staal has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Staal
Bennett
Home
54.3% (667)
45.4% (449)
Away
54.7% (662)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Staal
Bennett
P1
56.2%
49.6%
P2
57.0%
43.7%
P3
49.7%
45.1%
OT
68.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |