Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Bennett 53.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 55.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Staal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Staal
Bennett
Last 7: Staal 4-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Staal
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
53.1% (177)
+2.8%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
56.0% (25)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
64.7% (17)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Staal shoots left. Bennett is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Staal
Bennett
Home
57.2% (684)
55.1% (118)
Away
56.0% (654)
53.5% (101)
By Period
Staal
Bennett
P1
53.0%
43.6%
P2
58.2%
62.3%
P3
58.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |