Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Gagner 46.0% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 28-19 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 66.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 94.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 87.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Staal
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
19
(47 meetings)
28
19
Staal
Gagner
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
9
Staal
Gagner
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
6
Staal
Gagner
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
9
4
Staal
Gagner
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
45.4% (4,699)
+10.5%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
51.5% (928)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
35.0% (226)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Staal
Gagner
Home
56.4% (9,663)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Staal
Gagner
P1
55.2%
44.6%
P2
55.9%
46.1%
P3
54.9%
47.3%
OT
56.2%
42.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |