Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Gagner 47.5% (+10.6%)
Offensive zone
Staal 65.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 60.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Staal
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
51.3% (158)
+7.6%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
66.7% (36)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
33.6% (110)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Staal
Gagner
Home
59.0% (578)
53.2% (154)
Away
55.9% (707)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Staal
Gagner
P1
57.1%
35.6%
P2
60.9%
52.7%
P3
55.8%
51.9%
OT
20.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%