Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +25.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Gagner 43.8% (+25.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 56.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Staal
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
31.0% (29)
+25.3%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
29.4% (17)
+31.8%
On power play, Staal has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Staal
Gagner
Home
58.3% (705)
36.8% (19)
Away
53.3% (769)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Staal
Gagner
P1
54.5%
27.8%
P2
58.2%
15.4%
P3
54.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |