Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Gagner 52.4% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 74.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 54.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Staal
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
76.5% (17)
-17.6%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
28.6% (7)
+39.8%
On power play, Staal has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Staal
Gagner
Home
57.0% (646)
75.0% (16)
Away
59.1% (729)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Staal
Gagner
P1
55.9%
25.0%
P2
55.4%
64.3%
P3
62.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%