Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 61.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Gagner 47.5% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 70.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Staal
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Staal
Gagner
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Staal
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (780)
45.4% (119)
+11.8%
Power Play
71.3% (171)
50.0% (40)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (132)
42.9% (21)
+2.6%
On power play, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Staal is 61.5% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Staal shoots left. Gagner is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Staal
Gagner
Home
57.6% (566)
49.0% (104)
Away
58.4% (517)
42.1% (76)
By Period
Staal
Gagner
P1
55.6%
44.4%
P2
58.5%
44.6%
P3
60.6%
49.3%
OT
43.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |