Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.1% vs Couturier 53.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 54.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 66.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 57.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Staal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Staal
Couturier
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
3
Staal
Couturier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
4
Staal
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
9
Staal
Couturier
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (1,058)
54.3% (845)
+2.4%
Power Play
66.9% (175)
62.5% (72)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (279)
51.8% (249)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Staal is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Staal shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Home / Away
Staal
Couturier
Home
55.8% (755)
51.1% (562)
Away
55.2% (757)
57.3% (604)
By Period
Staal
Couturier
P1
56.3%
55.5%
P2
55.4%
54.4%
P3
53.9%
54.2%
OT
71.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
68.0%▲
58.0%
55.5%
Couturier
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 03:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 01:52 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 04:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |