Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.7% vs Couturier 53.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 56.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 64.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 55.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Staal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Staal
Couturier
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
3
Staal
Couturier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
4
Staal
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
9
Staal
Couturier
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (939)
53.4% (758)
+2.8%
Power Play
66.9% (139)
62.9% (70)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (239)
50.7% (227)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Staal shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Staal
Couturier
Home
55.4% (663)
50.7% (517)
Away
54.7% (654)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Staal
Couturier
P1
54.9%
55.2%
P2
55.1%
53.0%
P3
54.0%
53.3%
OT
70.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
57.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 03:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 01:52 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 04:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |