Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (52% H2H, 83 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Couturier 52.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 132-126 in 258 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 50.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Staal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
132
-
126
(258 meetings)
132
126
Staal
Couturier
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
49
48
Staal
Couturier
97 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
43
40
Staal
Couturier
83 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
40
38
Staal
Couturier
78 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
52.5% (11,063)
+3.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
59.7% (1,280)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
48.5% (1,816)
-0.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Staal
Couturier
Home
56.4% (9,663)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Staal
Couturier
P1
55.2%
52.5%
P2
55.9%
52.6%
P3
54.9%
52.9%
OT
56.2%
49.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 03:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 01:52 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 04:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |