Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Couturier 53.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 59.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Staal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Staal
Couturier
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
2
Staal
Couturier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
5
Staal
Couturier
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Staal
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
53.8% (1,003)
+5.1%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
56.4% (202)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
42.7% (89)
+9.1%
On power play, Staal has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Staal
Couturier
Home
57.0% (646)
54.4% (680)
Away
59.1% (729)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Staal
Couturier
P1
55.9%
56.3%
P2
55.4%
51.8%
P3
62.0%
52.2%
OT
70.4%
60.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |