Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Couturier 55.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 60.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Staal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
19
(29 meetings)
10
19
Staal
Couturier
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
7
Staal
Couturier
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
7
Staal
Couturier
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
5
Staal
Couturier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
55.1% (1,008)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
64.1% (142)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
53.3% (45)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Staal
Couturier
Home
54.3% (667)
58.1% (609)
Away
54.7% (662)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Staal
Couturier
P1
56.2%
55.3%
P2
57.0%
55.8%
P3
49.7%
57.4%
OT
68.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |