Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Couturier 47.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 61.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 59.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 59.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Staal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Staal
Couturier
Last 7: Staal 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Staal
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Staal
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (790)
47.4% (639)
+4.9%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
54.2% (24)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (218)
44.0% (134)
+1.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Staal is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Staal shoots left. Couturier is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Staal
Couturier
Home
54.9% (628)
46.9% (446)
Away
46.4% (530)
47.2% (358)
By Period
Staal
Couturier
P1
50.3%
42.5%
P2
52.4%
47.1%
P3
50.4%
51.6%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |