Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Monahan 52.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Staal
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Staal
Monahan
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
7
Staal
Monahan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
6
Staal
Monahan
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
52.4% (853)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
58.6% (174)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
46.5% (144)
-1.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Staal
Monahan
Home
54.3% (667)
53.4% (624)
Away
54.7% (662)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Staal
Monahan
P1
56.2%
53.7%
P2
57.0%
52.4%
P3
49.7%
51.6%
OT
68.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |