Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Monahan 52.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Staal
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Monahan
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
53.2% (823)
+2.9%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
55.3% (159)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
48.4% (95)
-5.4%
On power play, Staal has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Staal
Monahan
Home
55.4% (663)
54.6% (529)
Away
54.4% (676)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Staal
Monahan
P1
55.1%
49.0%
P2
54.7%
55.4%
P3
53.9%
53.6%
OT
70.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
57.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |