Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Blueger 48.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 84.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Staal
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Blueger
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
50.2% (223)
+5.9%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
62.5% (8)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
31.9% (47)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Blueger is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Staal
Blueger
Home
55.4% (663)
50.0% (192)
Away
54.4% (676)
41.9% (86)
By Period
Staal
Blueger
P1
55.1%
46.2%
P2
54.7%
51.5%
P3
53.9%
43.2%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |