Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Blueger 50.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 86.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Staal
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
15
(35 meetings)
20
15
Staal
Blueger
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
6
Staal
Blueger
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
4
Staal
Blueger
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
8
5
Staal
Blueger
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
52.3% (3,540)
+3.6%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
50.0% (76)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
42.6% (1,100)
+5.4%
On power play, Staal has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,198).
Home / Away
Staal
Blueger
Home
56.4% (9,663)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Staal
Blueger
P1
55.2%
49.2%
P2
55.9%
52.3%
P3
54.9%
48.5%
OT
56.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:30 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |