Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Blueger 51.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 81.0%
Defensive zone
Blueger 58.7%
Neutral zone
Blueger 53.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Staal
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Blueger
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
54.1% (425)
+2.2%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
100.0% (6)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
43.8% (144)
+8.3%
On power play, Blueger has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Staal
Blueger
Home
58.3% (705)
52.5% (282)
Away
53.3% (769)
51.5% (293)
By Period
Staal
Blueger
P1
54.5%
49.2%
P2
58.2%
57.2%
P3
54.1%
50.8%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |