Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Blueger 50.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 56.7%
Neutral zone
Blueger 51.3%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Staal
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Staal
Blueger
Last 9: Staal 4-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Staal
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
53.3% (745)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
45.5% (11)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
41.7% (259)
+3.4%
On power play, Staal has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Staal
Blueger
Home
54.3% (667)
53.4% (504)
Away
54.7% (662)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Staal
Blueger
P1
56.2%
46.6%
P2
57.0%
53.0%
P3
49.7%
50.8%
OT
68.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |