Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.6%). Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.0% vs Bailey 49.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 50.9%
Defensive zone
Bailey 73.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.2%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Malkin
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Malkin
Bailey
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Malkin
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
5
Malkin
Bailey
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
8
0
Malkin
Bailey
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (612)
48.8% (170)
-0.6%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
56.4% (39)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
42.1% (19)
+57.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Malkin shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bailey
Home
53.4% (305)
51.3% (156)
Away
44.3% (316)
45.8% (72)
By Period
Malkin
Bailey
P1
45.6%
50.0%
P2
46.6%
45.6%
P3
54.7%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.8%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |