Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Eller 53.3% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 76.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 51.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Bailey
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
53.8% (865)
-12.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.1% (21)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
52.6% (137)
+7.4%
On power play, Eller has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Bailey shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Bailey
Eller
Home
37.9% (58)
56.4% (486)
Away
47.4% (38)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Bailey
Eller
P1
47.2%
55.1%
P2
41.7%
55.3%
P3
33.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
36.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%