Scouting Report
Marcus Johansson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Johansson 46.0% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 53.3%
Defensive zone
Bailey 53.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 50.2%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Bailey
Johansson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
40.7% (54)
-0.9%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
43.2% (44)
-15.9%
On power play, Johansson has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Bailey shoots left. Johansson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Bailey
Johansson
Home
33.3% (48)
44.2% (52)
Away
43.5% (62)
39.1% (46)
By Period
Bailey
Johansson
P1
33.3%
37.1%
P2
47.2%
34.6%
P3
39.4%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%