Josh Bailey vs Marcus Johansson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Johansson 41.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 56.5%
Defensive zone
Bailey 67.1%
Neutral zone
Bailey 56.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Bailey
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Bailey
Johansson
Last 10: Bailey 5-5 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
5
3
Bailey
Johansson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
5
2
Bailey
Johansson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
4
6
Bailey
Johansson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
41.0% (2,522)
+4.8%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
42.5% (351)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
36.3% (80)
+3.6%
On power play, Bailey has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Johansson is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Bailey
Johansson
Home
46.6% (1,353)
42.7% (1,459)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
39.5% (1,518)
By Period
Bailey
Johansson
P1
46.5%
42.8%
P2
44.8%
40.4%
P3
44.4%
40.5%
OT
51.1%
28.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 18, 2016 | OT | 03:07 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 5, 2014 | OT | 00:16 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |