Scouting Report
Marcus Johansson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Johansson 48.0% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 56.7%
Defensive zone
Johansson 57.4%
Neutral zone
Bailey 61.4%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Bailey
Johansson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
46.3% (41)
-4.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
25.0% (8)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
66.7% (3)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Johansson has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Bailey shoots left. Johansson is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Bailey
Johansson
Home
37.9% (58)
40.9% (22)
Away
47.4% (38)
46.7% (30)
By Period
Bailey
Johansson
P1
47.2%
50.0%
P2
41.7%
45.0%
P3
33.3%
30.0%
Final 5 min
36.0%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
44.2%