Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 30.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-16.2%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 75.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 83.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Bailey
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
55.9% (245)
-16.1%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
0.0% (3)
+27.3%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
57.1% (7)
+22.9%
On power play, Bailey has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Bailey shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Bailey
Bjugstad
Home
33.3% (48)
53.2% (111)
Away
43.5% (62)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Bailey
Bjugstad
P1
33.3%
44.6%
P2
47.2%
61.4%
P3
39.4%
61.3%
Final 5 min
38.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%