Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 83.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 86.2%
Neutral zone
Bailey 52.2%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Bailey
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bailey
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Bailey
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
49.4% (867)
-7.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
56.0% (25)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
40.7% (216)
+19.3%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Bailey is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Bailey shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Bailey
Bjugstad
Home
37.9% (58)
46.5% (480)
Away
47.4% (38)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Bailey
Bjugstad
P1
47.2%
48.7%
P2
41.7%
45.6%
P3
33.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
36.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |