Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.9% vs 43.0%). Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.6% vs Bonino 44.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 53.8%
Defensive zone
Bailey 59.4%
Neutral zone
Bailey 53.9%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Bailey
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Bailey
Bonino
Last 6: Bailey 6-0 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
0
Bailey
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (579)
43.3% (423)
+0.9%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
45.5% (22)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (108)
20.0% (5)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Bailey is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Bailey shoots left. Bonino is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Bailey
Bonino
Home
45.9% (375)
44.1% (222)
Away
41.8% (361)
41.8% (232)
By Period
Bailey
Bonino
P1
47.3%
43.9%
P2
40.4%
43.4%
P3
43.3%
41.6%
OT
63.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |