Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Bonino 48.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 77.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 79.1%
Neutral zone
Bailey 56.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Bailey
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bailey
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Bailey
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
48.1% (324)
-6.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.9% (38)
-29.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
44.3% (88)
+15.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Bailey shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Bailey
Bonino
Home
37.9% (58)
52.0% (244)
Away
47.4% (38)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Bailey
Bonino
P1
47.2%
48.0%
P2
41.7%
42.9%
P3
33.3%
53.9%
Final 5 min
36.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |