Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Bonino 51.2% (-12.3%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 74.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 84.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Bailey
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
51.7% (777)
-11.9%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
60.0% (50)
-32.7%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
43.9% (98)
+36.1%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Bailey shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Bailey
Bonino
Home
33.3% (48)
48.2% (461)
Away
43.5% (62)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Bailey
Bonino
P1
33.3%
54.1%
P2
47.2%
49.7%
P3
39.4%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%