Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Backstrom 46.9% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 50.6%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 64.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 53.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Bailey
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
47.0% (541)
-7.2%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
47.4% (95)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
15.4% (13)
+64.6%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +64.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Bailey shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Bailey
Backstrom
Home
33.3% (48)
48.5% (328)
Away
43.5% (62)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Bailey
Backstrom
P1
33.3%
44.8%
P2
47.2%
42.9%
P3
39.4%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
38.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%