Josh Bailey vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 74.7%
Defensive zone
Bailey 74.3%
Neutral zone
Bailey 80.4%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Bailey
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Bailey
Backstrom
Last 10: Bailey 4-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
6
5
Bailey
Backstrom
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
10
Bailey
Backstrom
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
5
Bailey
Backstrom
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
50.4% (11,581)
-4.6%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
52.3% (1,895)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
47.0% (889)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Bailey
Backstrom
Home
46.6% (1,353)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Bailey
Backstrom
P1
46.5%
50.1%
P2
44.8%
49.7%
P3
44.4%
51.6%
OT
51.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |