Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 55.6%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 52.8%
Neutral zone
Bailey 52.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Bailey
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
36.7% (30)
+3.1%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
28.6% (7)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
0.0% (2)
+80.0%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Bailey shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Bailey
Buchnevich
Home
33.3% (48)
31.3% (16)
Away
43.5% (62)
34.8% (23)
By Period
Bailey
Buchnevich
P1
33.3%
35.7%
P2
47.2%
33.3%
P3
39.4%
30.8%
Final 5 min
38.1%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.3%