Josh Bailey vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Buchnevich 35.5% (+11.4%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 50.5%
Defensive zone
Bailey 55.7%
Neutral zone
Bailey 53.9%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Bailey
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
33.7% (819)
+12.1%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
44.7% (47)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
21.9% (32)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.7% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Bailey
Buchnevich
Home
46.6% (1,353)
34.9% (459)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
32.8% (439)
By Period
Bailey
Buchnevich
P1
46.5%
33.9%
P2
44.8%
33.9%
P3
44.4%
33.6%
OT
51.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
33.9%