Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Buchnevich 36.3% (+11.8%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 67.5%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 72.7%
Neutral zone
Bailey 57.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Bailey
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
28.6% (192)
+13.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
55.6% (9)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
30.8% (13)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Bailey shoots left. Buchnevich is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Bailey
Buchnevich
Home
37.9% (58)
30.4% (112)
Away
47.4% (38)
29.4% (102)
By Period
Bailey
Buchnevich
P1
47.2%
27.7%
P2
41.7%
33.3%
P3
33.3%
27.7%
Final 5 min
36.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
29.9%