Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 30.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-16.9%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 69.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 76.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Bailey
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
56.5% (712)
-16.7%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
59.7% (67)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
44.9% (49)
+35.1%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Bailey shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Bailey
Seguin
Home
33.3% (48)
58.5% (402)
Away
43.5% (62)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Bailey
Seguin
P1
33.3%
58.4%
P2
47.2%
54.7%
P3
39.4%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
38.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%