Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 56.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 56.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Norris
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Norris
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Carlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
34.4% (535)
+17.8%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
42.9% (21)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
40.0% (5)
+6.7%
On even strength, Norris has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Norris
Carlsson
Home
50.7% (351)
38.6% (254)
Away
54.0% (278)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Norris
Carlsson
P1
55.6%
35.9%
P2
49.3%
33.8%
P3
52.1%
34.3%
OT
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |