Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Carlsson 41.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 58.2%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 52.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 56.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Norris
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Norris
Carlsson
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Norris
Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
1
Norris
Carlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
4
6
Norris
Carlsson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
41.0% (1,844)
+11.5%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
42.9% (154)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
35.0% (120)
+10.4%
On even strength, Norris has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Norris shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Home / Away
Norris
Carlsson
Home
53.1% (1,856)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Norris
Carlsson
P1
55.6%
43.3%
P2
51.4%
36.5%
P3
50.1%
43.2%
OT
40.5%
40.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:53 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |