Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 61.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 80.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 73.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Norris
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Norris
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
41.8% (648)
+11.8%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
37.3% (51)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
38.7% (31)
+14.4%
On power play, Norris has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Norris
Carlsson
Home
53.6% (373)
44.5% (362)
Away
54.1% (394)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Norris
Carlsson
P1
61.8%
46.3%
P2
51.7%
35.1%
P3
49.8%
43.9%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Josh Norris |