Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Norris wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Scheifele 49.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 60.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Norris
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Norris
Scheifele
Last 10: Norris 3-7 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
6
Norris
Scheifele
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
10
4
Norris
Scheifele
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
7
Norris
Scheifele
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (635)
48.5% (631)
+4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (70)
67.2% (61)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
33.3% (15)
-7.0%
On power play, Scheifele has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Norris is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Norris shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Norris
Scheifele
Home
52.7% (366)
52.0% (358)
Away
52.0% (358)
47.6% (349)
By Period
Norris
Scheifele
P1
50.4%
46.3%
P2
53.9%
50.9%
P3
52.2%
51.5%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
56.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Josh Norris |