Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 87.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 71.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Norris
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Norris
Scheifele
Last 6: Norris 4-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Norris
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
48.7% (981)
+4.9%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
53.2% (250)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
43.2% (37)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Norris shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Norris
Scheifele
Home
53.6% (373)
50.0% (672)
Away
54.1% (394)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Norris
Scheifele
P1
61.8%
51.4%
P2
51.7%
45.1%
P3
49.8%
51.9%
OT
27.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |