Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.7%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Norris wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.8%
Defensive zone
Norris 54.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 56.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Norris
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Norris
Scheifele
Last 10: Norris 2-8 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
4
Norris
Scheifele
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Norris
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
3
Norris
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
49.3% (649)
+1.9%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
55.7% (183)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
50.0% (16)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Norris shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Norris
Scheifele
Home
55.6% (487)
52.3% (440)
Away
47.0% (549)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Norris
Scheifele
P1
54.8%
52.3%
P2
51.3%
50.4%
P3
48.0%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |