Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 63.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Norris
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Norris
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Norris
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
46.5% (878)
+3.5%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
48.3% (174)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.0% (54)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Norris shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Norris
Scheifele
Home
47.2% (193)
46.2% (571)
Away
51.6% (246)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Norris
Scheifele
P1
53.8%
51.9%
P2
48.2%
45.6%
P3
47.9%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |