Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 60.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 55.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 56.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Norris
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Norris
Zibanejad
Last 7: Norris 4-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Norris
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
50.9% (913)
+1.3%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
59.0% (39)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
37.5% (160)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Norris shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Norris
Zibanejad
Home
50.7% (351)
51.1% (536)
Away
54.0% (278)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Norris
Zibanejad
P1
55.6%
50.1%
P2
49.3%
47.3%
P3
52.1%
50.7%
OT
42.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |