Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 54.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 54.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 50.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Norris
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Norris
Zibanejad
Last 5: Norris 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
52.9% (870)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
53.5% (43)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
46.2% (143)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Norris shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Norris
Zibanejad
Home
53.6% (373)
55.1% (501)
Away
54.1% (394)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Norris
Zibanejad
P1
61.8%
57.5%
P2
51.7%
50.7%
P3
49.8%
47.9%
OT
27.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Josh Norris |