Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 55.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 62.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Norris
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Norris
Zibanejad
Last 7: Norris 4-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Norris
Zibanejad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
53.4% (770)
-3.4%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
46.2% (39)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
44.7% (141)
-1.8%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Norris shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Norris
Zibanejad
Home
47.2% (193)
49.0% (429)
Away
51.6% (246)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Norris
Zibanejad
P1
53.8%
53.0%
P2
48.2%
51.1%
P3
47.9%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |